Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.027485 0.029528 0.031584 0.033805 0.036135 0.038504 0.041093
2026-02-08 0.023517 0.026680 0.029984 0.033680 0.037688 0.041892 0.046624
2026-02-15 0.021085 0.024867 0.028919 0.033561 0.038709 0.044220 0.050543
2026-02-22 0.019254 0.023478 0.028106 0.033513 0.039620 0.046267 0.054011
2026-03-01 0.017561 0.022086 0.027144 0.033161 0.040068 0.047695 0.056700
2026-03-08 0.015909 0.020616 0.025980 0.032470 0.040035 0.048501 0.058617
2026-03-15 0.014476 0.019307 0.024916 0.031810 0.039960 0.049193 0.060348
2026-03-22 0.013917 0.019004 0.024998 0.032461 0.041383 0.051587 0.064021
2026-03-29 0.013141 0.018384 0.024658 0.032571 0.042136 0.053182 0.066755
2026-04-05 0.012354 0.017705 0.024206 0.032509 0.042655 0.054480 0.069127
2026-04-12 0.011886 0.017402 0.024192 0.032961 0.043777 0.056481 0.072325
2026-04-19 0.011229 0.016819 0.023800 0.032920 0.044279 0.057729 0.074622
2026-04-26 0.010561 0.016228 0.023416 0.032925 0.044896 0.059196 0.077291
2026-05-03 0.009880 0.015594 0.022961 0.032836 0.045402 0.060547 0.079857
2026-05-10 0.009245 0.014986 0.022507 0.032717 0.045845 0.061801 0.082293
2026-05-17 0.008690 0.014455 0.022128 0.032670 0.046360 0.063133 0.084818
2026-05-24 0.008065 0.013792 0.021541 0.032324 0.046471 0.063947 0.086697
2026-05-31 0.007369 0.012988 0.020728 0.031646 0.046127 0.064170 0.087828
2026-06-07 0.006735 0.012241 0.019961 0.030998 0.045793 0.064384 0.088930
2026-06-14 0.006568 0.012182 0.020148 0.031637 0.047145 0.066737 0.092720
2026-06-21 0.006243 0.011865 0.019954 0.031744 0.047787 0.068183 0.095372
2026-06-28 0.005887 0.011481 0.019650 0.031684 0.048196 0.069324 0.097639
2026-07-05 0.005702 0.011355 0.019711 0.032128 0.049277 0.071336 0.101020